Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#84
Pace70.1#172
Improvement-4.4#325

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#91
First Shot+1.6#127
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#49
Layup/Dunks-1.0#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#64
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement-1.0#230

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#94
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#19
Layups/Dunks+2.0#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
Freethrows+0.9#104
Improvement-3.5#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 278   Sacramento St. L 63-66 93%     0 - 1 -13.5 -13.0 -0.5
  Nov 16, 2015 138   Belmont W 83-74 77%     1 - 1 +8.0 -5.8 +12.7
  Nov 18, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 91-53 92%     2 - 1 +29.0 +10.0 +17.7
  Nov 23, 2015 74   North Carolina St. W 79-76 46%     3 - 1 +10.6 +6.4 +4.2
  Nov 24, 2015 93   Marquette L 73-78 OT 53%     3 - 2 +0.9 -6.1 +7.6
  Nov 29, 2015 104   UC Santa Barbara W 70-68 67%     4 - 2 +4.0 +3.1 +1.0
  Dec 02, 2015 43   @ Creighton W 79-77 25%     5 - 2 +15.6 +13.3 +2.3
  Dec 05, 2015 16   Texas A&M W 67-54 27%     6 - 2 +25.9 +0.3 +25.4
  Dec 12, 2015 7   @ Kentucky L 58-72 9%     6 - 3 +7.1 -10.6 +18.2
  Dec 16, 2015 115   @ UNLV W 66-56 51%     7 - 3 +16.3 +0.1 +16.4
  Dec 19, 2015 284   Houston Baptist W 98-79 94%     8 - 3 +8.1 +13.6 -6.3
  Dec 22, 2015 54   Stephen F. Austin W 80-73 49%     9 - 3 +13.8 +9.1 +4.6
  Dec 28, 2015 110   Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-59 70%     10 - 3 +17.0 +6.4 +10.7
  Jan 03, 2016 12   Arizona L 82-94 25%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +1.5 +12.0 -10.2
  Jan 07, 2016 41   @ USC L 65-75 24%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +3.8 -5.3 +9.6
  Jan 09, 2016 63   @ UCLA L 74-81 32%     10 - 6 0 - 3 +4.4 +0.2 +4.7
  Jan 14, 2016 169   Washington St. W 84-73 83%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +7.5 +0.6 +5.7
  Jan 16, 2016 56   Washington L 85-89 49%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +2.8 +7.8 -4.6
  Jan 21, 2016 23   @ California L 70-75 15%     11 - 8 1 - 5 +12.6 +9.0 +3.5
  Jan 23, 2016 89   @ Stanford L 73-75 40%     11 - 9 1 - 6 +7.2 +5.5 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2016 57   Oregon St. W 86-68 50%     12 - 9 2 - 6 +24.5 +14.4 +9.6
  Jan 31, 2016 10   Oregon L 74-91 24%     12 - 10 2 - 7 -2.9 -1.8 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2016 56   @ Washington L 83-95 OT 28%     12 - 11 2 - 8 +0.7 +2.6 +0.1
  Feb 06, 2016 169   @ Washington St. W 67-55 66%     13 - 11 3 - 8 +14.4 -1.9 +16.7
  Feb 12, 2016 41   USC W 74-67 44%     14 - 11 4 - 8 +15.0 +3.5 +11.5
  Feb 14, 2016 63   UCLA L 65-78 54%     14 - 12 4 - 9 -7.4 -9.4 +2.5
  Feb 17, 2016 12   @ Arizona L 61-99 12%     14 - 13 4 - 10 -18.7 -3.9 -14.7
  Feb 25, 2016 26   @ Utah L 46-81 16%     14 - 14 4 - 11 -17.9 -16.9 -3.1
  Feb 28, 2016 47   @ Colorado L 69-79 25%     14 - 15 4 - 12 +3.4 +16.0 -14.1
  Mar 03, 2016 89   Stanford W 74-64 62%     15 - 15 5 - 12 +13.4 +6.7 +7.2
  Mar 05, 2016 23   California L 65-68 31%     15 - 16 5 - 13 +8.8 +2.0 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2016 57   Oregon St. L 66-75 39%     15 - 17 +0.4 -3.2 +3.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%